Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.2% vs Thornton 55.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 53.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 86.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 67.4%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
McClement
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McClement
Thornton
Last 8: McClement 2-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
5
McClement
Thornton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (591)
55.8% (704)
-1.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
56.7% (208)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (263)
56.7% (67)
-11.8%
On power play, Thornton has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McClement is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (590).
McClement shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
McClement
Thornton
Home
55.5% (422)
59.0% (493)
Away
47.5% (451)
53.2% (500)
By Period
McClement
Thornton
P1
50.2%
55.3%
P2
49.5%
55.4%
P3
54.3%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
59.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |