Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 34 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 42-36 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 75.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
McClement
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
36
(78 meetings)
42
36
McClement
Tavares
Last 10: McClement 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
11
McClement
Tavares
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
13
11
McClement
Tavares
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
20
14
McClement
Tavares
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
54.0% (15,885)
+0.4%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
56.5% (4,221)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
50.7% (612)
-3.5%
On power play, McClement has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Home / Away
McClement
Tavares
Home
55.4% (2,788)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
McClement
Tavares
P1
53.5%
55.1%
P2
52.0%
54.1%
P3
53.2%
54.0%
OT
47.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |