Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.4%). Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 53.4% vs Staal 54.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 83.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 76.3%
Neutral zone
McClement 51.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
McClement
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McClement
Staal
Last 9: McClement 6-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
McClement
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
4
0
McClement
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (927)
55.3% (1,171)
+0.4%
Power Play
75.0% (12)
56.6% (173)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (321)
42.9% (133)
+4.1%
On power play, McClement has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
McClement shoots left. Staal is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (972).
Home / Away
McClement
Staal
Home
55.9% (571)
54.7% (720)
Away
51.8% (689)
54.0% (757)
By Period
McClement
Staal
P1
55.8%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
57.4%
P3
53.3%
54.6%
OT
52.4%
52.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Jay McClement |