Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Hodgman 51.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgman 65.1%
Defensive zone
McClement 73.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 55.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
McClement
Hodgman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McClement
Hodgman
Last 7: McClement 4-3 Hodgman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgman
0
1
McClement
Hodgman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Hodgman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgman
1
2
McClement
Hodgman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Hodgman
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
52.3% (44)
+4.8%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
100.0% (2)
-48.6%
On power play, Hodgman has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgman shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
McClement shoots left. Hodgman is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
McClement
Hodgman
Home
55.8% (475)
59.1% (22)
Away
55.1% (515)
50.0% (24)
By Period
McClement
Hodgman
P1
55.6%
80.0%
P2
57.3%
33.3%
P3
53.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Hodgman
54.3%▬
54.3%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Justin Hodgman |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 12:30 | Neutral | Justin Hodgman |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Justin Hodgman |