Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Hayes 47.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
McClement 65.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 93.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 88.2%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
McClement
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
McClement
Hayes
Last 10: McClement 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
2
McClement
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
7
1
McClement
Hayes
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
5
1
McClement
Hayes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
47.6% (6,698)
+6.8%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
51.7% (702)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
45.4% (696)
+1.8%
On power play, McClement has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Home / Away
McClement
Hayes
Home
55.4% (2,788)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
McClement
Hayes
P1
53.5%
47.5%
P2
52.0%
47.7%
P3
53.2%
47.9%
OT
47.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jay McClement |