Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Hayes 38.9% (+19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 52.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 89.0%
Neutral zone
McClement 83.7%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
McClement
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McClement
Hayes
Last 6: McClement 4-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
McClement
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
35.4% (362)
+22.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
52.9% (17)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
0.0% (2)
+45.8%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
McClement shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
McClement
Hayes
Home
56.0% (341)
36.8% (212)
Away
54.6% (337)
34.9% (169)
By Period
McClement
Hayes
P1
52.7%
40.3%
P2
55.7%
31.1%
P3
58.3%
34.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Jay McClement |