Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 48.5% vs Scheifele 43.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 73.7%
Neutral zone
McClement 58.2%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
McClement
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McClement
Scheifele
Last 5: McClement 3-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
McClement
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (420)
43.9% (1,136)
+4.7%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
43.0% (237)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (94)
38.6% (88)
+5.0%
On power play, McClement has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McClement is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (181).
McClement shoots left. Scheifele is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
McClement
Scheifele
Home
52.5% (244)
45.3% (739)
Away
44.5% (281)
41.6% (722)
By Period
McClement
Scheifele
P1
52.3%
45.6%
P2
46.4%
42.6%
P3
46.6%
42.8%
OT
33.3%
26.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jay McClement |