Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Talbot 47.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 63.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 62.3%
Neutral zone
Talbot 53.7%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
McClement
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McClement
Talbot
Last 10: McClement 5-5 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McClement
Talbot
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
2
McClement
Talbot
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
2
McClement
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
48.3% (1,738)
+6.1%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
49.0% (51)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
42.3% (631)
+4.9%
On power play, McClement has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
McClement
Talbot
Home
55.4% (2,788)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
McClement
Talbot
P1
53.5%
48.7%
P2
52.0%
43.5%
P3
53.2%
48.6%
OT
47.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Max Talbot |