Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Chaput 56.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 61.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 74.6%
Neutral zone
McClement 57.3%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
McClement
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McClement
Chaput
Last 9: McClement 4-5 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
2
McClement
Chaput
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
2
McClement
Chaput
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
65.3% (75)
-7.7%
On even strength, Chaput has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
McClement shoots left. Chaput is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
McClement
Chaput
Home
56.0% (341)
67.9% (56)
Away
54.6% (337)
57.9% (19)
By Period
McClement
Chaput
P1
52.7%
69.6%
P2
55.7%
60.0%
P3
58.3%
68.2%
Final 5 min
58.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
65.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jay McClement |