Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Lucic 46.6% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucic 83.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 90.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 54.4%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
McClement
Lucic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McClement
Lucic
Last 6: McClement 3-3 Lucic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
0
2
McClement
Lucic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Lucic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lucic
0
1
McClement
Lucic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
44.4% (401)
+10.0%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
49.5% (198)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
33.3% (3)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Lucic is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
McClement
Lucic
Home
55.4% (2,788)
48.3% (317)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
43.5% (285)
By Period
McClement
Lucic
P1
53.5%
41.3%
P2
52.0%
47.9%
P3
53.2%
50.3%
OT
47.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Milan Lucic |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |