Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. McClement wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lucic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 53.4% vs Lucic 48.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucic 86.5%
Defensive zone
McClement 88.3%
Neutral zone
Lucic 50.8%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McClement
Lucic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McClement
Lucic
Last 5: McClement 2-3 Lucic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
0
2
McClement
Lucic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Lucic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lucic
0
1
McClement
Lucic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (927)
34.6% (52)
+21.1%
Power Play
75.0% (12)
53.8% (78)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (321)
100.0% (1)
-53.0%
On penalty kill, Lucic has a +53.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. McClement is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (811).
McClement shoots left. Lucic is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
McClement
Lucic
Home
55.9% (571)
46.9% (64)
Away
51.8% (689)
46.3% (67)
By Period
McClement
Lucic
P1
55.8%
41.0%
P2
52.3%
48.9%
P3
53.3%
47.7%
OT
52.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Milan Lucic |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |