Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Bjugstad 51.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 68.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 73.5%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
McClement
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McClement
Bjugstad
Last 7: McClement 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
50.4% (752)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
60.6% (104)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
58.3% (12)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. McClement is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (233).
McClement shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
McClement
Bjugstad
Home
56.0% (341)
52.9% (461)
Away
54.6% (337)
50.4% (407)
By Period
McClement
Bjugstad
P1
52.7%
51.5%
P2
55.7%
53.8%
P3
58.3%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Jay McClement |