Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Bonino 47.6% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 67.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 88.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 86.0%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
McClement
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
McClement
Bonino
Last 5: McClement 5-0 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
48.2% (926)
+8.9%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
48.6% (109)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
43.3% (210)
+7.7%
On even strength, McClement has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
McClement
Bonino
Home
55.8% (475)
47.8% (653)
Away
55.1% (515)
47.0% (592)
By Period
McClement
Bonino
P1
55.6%
45.9%
P2
57.3%
47.0%
P3
53.2%
49.4%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jay McClement |