Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 85.5%
Neutral zone
McClement 64.7%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
McClement
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
McClement
Foligno
Last 9: McClement 5-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
1
McClement
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
McClement
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
48.3% (2,810)
+6.1%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
52.3% (730)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
44.0% (455)
+3.2%
On power play, McClement has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
McClement
Foligno
Home
55.4% (2,788)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
McClement
Foligno
P1
53.5%
47.6%
P2
52.0%
50.4%
P3
53.2%
48.3%
OT
47.9%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |