Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Foligno 48.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 80.6%
Neutral zone
McClement 64.6%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
McClement
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McClement
Foligno
Last 5: McClement 3-2 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
47.1% (227)
+10.0%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
46.7% (15)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
52.4% (21)
-1.4%
On even strength, McClement has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
McClement
Foligno
Home
55.8% (475)
45.7% (116)
Away
55.1% (515)
49.0% (147)
By Period
McClement
Foligno
P1
55.6%
53.8%
P2
57.3%
50.0%
P3
53.2%
40.4%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |