Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Horak 43.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 58.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 89.7%
Neutral zone
McClement 82.9%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
McClement
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McClement
Horak
Last 6: McClement 4-2 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
2
McClement
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
4
0
McClement
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
41.8% (594)
+12.6%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
51.4% (37)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
57.9% (19)
-10.7%
On even strength, McClement has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
McClement
Horak
Home
55.4% (2,788)
43.7% (325)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
42.2% (327)
By Period
McClement
Horak
P1
53.5%
42.4%
P2
52.0%
44.2%
P3
53.2%
42.6%
OT
47.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |