Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.2% vs Horak 43.1% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 55.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 88.2%
Neutral zone
McClement 82.6%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
McClement
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McClement
Horak
Last 6: McClement 4-2 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
2
McClement
Horak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
4
0
McClement
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (591)
40.1% (399)
+14.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
53.8% (26)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (263)
50.0% (14)
-5.1%
On even strength, McClement has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. McClement is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (590).
McClement shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
McClement
Horak
Home
55.5% (422)
40.5% (227)
Away
47.5% (451)
42.5% (214)
By Period
McClement
Horak
P1
50.2%
42.3%
P2
49.5%
40.5%
P3
54.3%
41.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |