Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.2% vs Getzlaf 47.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 59.1%
Defensive zone
McClement 82.4%
Neutral zone
McClement 66.3%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
McClement
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
McClement
Getzlaf
Last 7: McClement 6-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
4
0
McClement
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (591)
46.8% (1,058)
+7.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
52.3% (153)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (263)
42.3% (111)
+2.6%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. McClement is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (283).
McClement shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
McClement
Getzlaf
Home
55.5% (422)
48.3% (694)
Away
47.5% (451)
46.1% (660)
By Period
McClement
Getzlaf
P1
50.2%
47.8%
P2
49.5%
46.6%
P3
54.3%
47.2%
OT
66.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Jay McClement |