Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. McClement wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.2% vs Johansen 46.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.5%
Defensive zone
McClement 76.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McClement
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McClement
Johansen
Last 5: McClement 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
McClement
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
McClement
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (591)
45.7% (186)
+8.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
40.0% (25)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (263)
33.3% (3)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McClement is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (283).
McClement shoots left. Johansen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
McClement
Johansen
Home
55.5% (422)
47.2% (108)
Away
47.5% (451)
43.0% (107)
By Period
McClement
Johansen
P1
50.2%
50.0%
P2
49.5%
48.7%
P3
54.3%
37.5%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 12, 2011 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |