Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 57.1%
Defensive zone
McClement 60.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 52.6%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
McClement
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
McClement
Koivu
Last 10: McClement 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
McClement
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
5
4
McClement
Koivu
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
51.9% (3,221)
+2.5%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
59.3% (437)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
48.0% (764)
-0.8%
On power play, McClement has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
McClement
Koivu
Home
55.4% (2,788)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
McClement
Koivu
P1
53.5%
51.1%
P2
52.0%
52.6%
P3
53.2%
51.8%
OT
47.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 01:35 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jay McClement |