Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.2% vs Nichol 56.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 57.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 83.7%
Neutral zone
McClement 69.3%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
McClement
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McClement
Nichol
Last 7: McClement 2-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
4
McClement
Nichol
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
McClement
Nichol
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (591)
58.0% (371)
-3.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
25.0% (4)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (263)
57.3% (75)
-12.4%
On power play, McClement has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. McClement is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (283).
McClement shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
McClement
Nichol
Home
55.5% (422)
58.6% (215)
Away
47.5% (451)
56.6% (235)
By Period
McClement
Nichol
P1
50.2%
56.1%
P2
49.5%
58.4%
P3
54.3%
57.8%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.3%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Jay McClement |