Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Kalinin 43.6% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 56.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 85.4%
Neutral zone
McClement 82.2%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
McClement
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McClement
Kalinin
Last 6: McClement 4-2 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Kalinin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Kalinin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Kalinin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
42.3% (298)
+15.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
29.4% (17)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
42.9% (7)
+2.9%
On power play, McClement has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
McClement shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
McClement
Kalinin
Home
56.0% (341)
42.8% (173)
Away
54.6% (337)
40.3% (149)
By Period
McClement
Kalinin
P1
52.7%
39.8%
P2
55.7%
44.1%
P3
58.3%
40.2%
Final 5 min
58.8%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2016 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jay McClement |