Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Gionta 42.3% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 50.6%
Defensive zone
Gionta 53.5%
Neutral zone
Gionta 55.2%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
McClement
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McClement
Gionta
Last 8: McClement 4-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
McClement
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
McClement
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
40.3% (303)
+16.8%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
66.7% (6)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
38.8% (85)
+12.2%
On even strength, McClement has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
McClement shoots left. Gionta is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
McClement
Gionta
Home
55.8% (475)
42.8% (166)
Away
55.1% (515)
38.6% (228)
By Period
McClement
Gionta
P1
55.6%
41.7%
P2
57.3%
42.3%
P3
53.2%
37.8%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jay McClement |