Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Schaller 43.4% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 80.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 87.8%
Neutral zone
McClement 79.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
McClement
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McClement
Schaller
Last 7: McClement 5-2 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Schaller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Schaller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
1
McClement
Schaller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
40.0% (170)
+17.1%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
100.0% (2)
-48.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
28.6% (14)
+22.4%
On power play, Schaller has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Schaller is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
McClement
Schaller
Home
55.8% (475)
33.3% (36)
Away
55.1% (515)
41.3% (150)
By Period
McClement
Schaller
P1
55.6%
38.1%
P2
57.3%
44.6%
P3
53.2%
37.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Jay McClement |