Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Smith 48.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 63.0%
Defensive zone
McClement 83.8%
Neutral zone
McClement 79.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
McClement
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McClement
Smith
Last 6: McClement 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
McClement
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
4
0
McClement
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
49.0% (769)
+5.4%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
63.6% (22)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
42.4% (118)
+4.8%
On even strength, McClement has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
McClement
Smith
Home
55.4% (2,788)
52.4% (490)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
44.0% (420)
By Period
McClement
Smith
P1
53.5%
46.9%
P2
52.0%
51.2%
P3
53.2%
47.7%
OT
47.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Jay McClement |