Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Johnson 49.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 75.8%
Defensive zone
McClement 82.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.8%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
McClement
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
McClement
Johnson
Last 10: McClement 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
10
McClement
Johnson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
9
4
McClement
Johnson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
2
McClement
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.6%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
54.6% (885)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
42.3% (707)
+4.9%
On power play, McClement has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
McClement shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
McClement
Johnson
Home
55.4% (2,788)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
McClement
Johnson
P1
53.5%
50.1%
P2
52.0%
50.6%
P3
53.2%
48.4%
OT
47.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |