Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 48.5% vs Johnson 51.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 55.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 70.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 60.7%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
McClement
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McClement
Johnson
Last 6: McClement 2-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
McClement
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
0
McClement
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
McClement
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (420)
51.2% (825)
-2.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
56.9% (160)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (94)
51.1% (137)
-7.5%
On power play, McClement has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. McClement is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (181).
McClement shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
McClement
Johnson
Home
52.5% (244)
56.9% (583)
Away
44.5% (281)
46.6% (539)
By Period
McClement
Johnson
P1
52.3%
55.1%
P2
46.4%
53.0%
P3
46.6%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jay McClement |