Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Fiddler 51.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 59.3%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 59.1%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 61.1%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
McClement
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McClement
Fiddler
Last 5: McClement 1-4 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
McClement
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
McClement
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
51.8% (819)
+5.3%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
37.9% (29)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
53.8% (249)
-2.8%
On power play, McClement has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Fiddler is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
McClement
Fiddler
Home
55.8% (475)
51.1% (546)
Away
55.1% (515)
52.6% (551)
By Period
McClement
Fiddler
P1
55.6%
51.3%
P2
57.3%
53.7%
P3
53.2%
51.3%
OT
54.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Jay McClement |