Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 71.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 63.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.3%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
McClement
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
McClement
Smith
Last 10: McClement 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
6
McClement
Smith
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
4
McClement
Smith
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
8
6
McClement
Smith
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.8%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
51.2% (342)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
45.3% (985)
+1.9%
On power play, McClement has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
McClement
Smith
Home
55.4% (2,788)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
McClement
Smith
P1
53.5%
49.9%
P2
52.0%
50.0%
P3
53.2%
51.9%
OT
47.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Zack Smith |