Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 51.8%). Look for McClement on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 51.3% vs Smith 51.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.6%
Defensive zone
McClement 60.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.2%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
McClement
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McClement
Smith
Last 9: McClement 4-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
McClement
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
McClement
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (311)
52.6% (635)
-1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
45.5% (44)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (78)
48.1% (52)
+3.2%
On power play, McClement has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. McClement is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (214).
McClement shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
McClement
Smith
Home
50.5% (216)
53.4% (371)
Away
53.1% (177)
50.3% (360)
By Period
McClement
Smith
P1
45.5%
50.2%
P2
43.8%
52.2%
P3
61.4%
52.7%
OT
87.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
51.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 6, 2013 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jay McClement |