Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Megna 51.7% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 54.1%
Defensive zone
Megna 83.9%
Neutral zone
Megna 61.0%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Luostarinen
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Luostarinen
Megna
Last 5: Luostarinen 3-2 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
1
Luostarinen
Megna
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
1
Luostarinen
Megna
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
53.8% (251)
-12.4%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
0.0% (2)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
42.3% (26)
+2.4%
On power play, Luostarinen has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Luostarinen shoots left. Megna is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Megna
Home
41.5% (207)
50.4% (135)
Away
42.2% (211)
54.2% (144)
By Period
Luostarinen
Megna
P1
38.2%
60.9%
P2
44.9%
51.2%
P3
42.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |