Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 57.5%
Defensive zone
Megna 64.8%
Neutral zone
Megna 62.6%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Megna
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Megna
Smith
Last 5: Megna 0-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Megna
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Megna
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Megna
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
51.2% (342)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
45.3% (985)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Megna shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Megna
Smith
Home
49.3% (227)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.6% (220)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Megna
Smith
P1
51.7%
49.9%
P2
49.3%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
58.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Zack Smith |