Brandon Sutter vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.8%). Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Pageau 54.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 58.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Sutter
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Sutter
Pageau
Last 6: Sutter 0-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Sutter
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Sutter
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Sutter
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
55.4% (831)
-0.8%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
66.7% (12)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
51.4% (175)
-2.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Sutter is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (439).
Sutter shoots right. Pageau is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Sutter
Pageau
Home
55.0% (714)
58.4% (502)
Away
53.5% (738)
51.4% (516)
By Period
Sutter
Pageau
P1
54.3%
57.3%
P2
53.1%
56.7%
P3
54.8%
50.4%
OT
63.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |