Chris Tierney vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Pageau 49.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 54.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 58.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Tierney
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Tierney
Pageau
Last 7: Tierney 4-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tierney
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
51.5% (536)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
38.6% (132)
+1.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Tierney is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Tierney shoots left. Pageau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Tierney
Pageau
Home
46.5% (127)
51.0% (347)
Away
42.3% (215)
47.3% (334)
By Period
Tierney
Pageau
P1
42.7%
54.4%
P2
39.2%
47.3%
P3
48.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |