Dalibor Dvorsky vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorsky on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorsky wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 46.9% vs Pageau 58.8% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 94.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Dvorsky
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorsky
Pageau
Last 6: Dvorsky 4-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
1
0
Dvorsky
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
2
1
Dvorsky
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (514)
59.1% (687)
-12.0%
Power Play
41.7% (72)
69.4% (36)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
60.1% (213)
-10.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dvorsky is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Dvorsky shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Pageau
Home
46.6% (264)
57.8% (377)
Away
46.3% (324)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Dvorsky
Pageau
P1
48.3%
54.1%
P2
44.7%
62.1%
P3
46.3%
61.8%
Final 5 min
42.5%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
36.0%▼
42.5%
46.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |