Jacob de la Rose vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 43.8% vs Pageau 49.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 59.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 63.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Rose
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Rose
Pageau
Last 7: Rose 4-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Rose
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (140)
51.5% (536)
-12.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
38.6% (132)
+5.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Rose is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Rose shoots left. Pageau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Rose
Pageau
Home
47.2% (72)
51.0% (347)
Away
34.1% (88)
47.3% (334)
By Period
Rose
Pageau
P1
40.4%
54.4%
P2
35.6%
47.3%
P3
46.5%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |