Jared McCann vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Pageau 55.9% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 78.2%
Defensive zone
McCann 66.5%
Neutral zone
McCann 76.1%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
McCann
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McCann
Pageau
Last 8: McCann 2-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
McCann
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
McCann
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (106)
58.3% (674)
-14.9%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
57.1% (77)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.7% (82)
+7.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (77).
McCann shoots left. Pageau is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
McCann
Pageau
Home
43.3% (60)
57.4% (439)
Away
43.5% (69)
55.8% (394)
By Period
McCann
Pageau
P1
42.5%
54.0%
P2
40.4%
55.0%
P3
48.7%
60.8%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
43.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |