Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 49.3% vs Grigorenko 47.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 63.6%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 53.6%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 67.0%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Pageau
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pageau
Grigorenko
Last 5: Pageau 1-4 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Pageau
Grigorenko
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Pageau
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
1
2
Pageau
Grigorenko
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (536)
44.5% (301)
+7.0%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
63.0% (27)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (132)
66.7% (3)
-28.1%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Pageau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Pageau shoots right. Grigorenko is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Pageau
Grigorenko
Home
51.0% (347)
52.5% (141)
Away
47.3% (334)
41.6% (190)
By Period
Pageau
Grigorenko
P1
54.4%
45.8%
P2
47.3%
43.0%
P3
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
49.2%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |