Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Foligno
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Foligno 49.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 65.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 77.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Pageau
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
49.0% (261)
+10.1%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
57.1% (42)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
47.1% (51)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Pageau
Foligno
Home
57.8% (377)
48.9% (178)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Pageau
Foligno
P1
54.1%
40.4%
P2
62.1%
55.8%
P3
61.8%
51.2%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |