Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nolan Patrick
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Patrick 52.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 81.1%
Defensive zone
Patrick 67.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 71.8%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Pageau
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Pageau
Patrick
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
5
Pageau
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pageau
Patrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pageau
Patrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
51.2% (371)
+7.1%
Power Play
57.1% (77)
62.2% (37)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
59.1% (22)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Pageau is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Pageau shoots right. Patrick is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Pageau
Patrick
Home
57.4% (439)
48.5% (231)
Away
55.8% (394)
57.3% (199)
By Period
Pageau
Patrick
P1
54.0%
52.0%
P2
55.0%
52.3%
P3
60.8%
53.2%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |