Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pavel Zacha
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Zacha 51.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 74.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Pageau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
53.7% (497)
+5.5%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
54.8% (84)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
37.5% (64)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Pageau shoots right. Zacha is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zacha
Home
59.5% (299)
51.0% (335)
Away
60.4% (389)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Pageau
Zacha
P1
55.3%
60.0%
P2
62.2%
48.1%
P3
61.1%
48.8%
OT
80.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
62.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |