Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pavel Zacha
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Zacha 51.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 78.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 91.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Pageau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pageau
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
53.3% (646)
+5.8%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
53.0% (100)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
38.9% (72)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Pageau
Zacha
Home
57.8% (377)
51.7% (410)
Away
61.0% (559)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Pageau
Zacha
P1
54.1%
57.7%
P2
62.1%
48.9%
P3
61.8%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |