Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Bennett
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Bennett 48.3% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 81.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 62.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Pageau
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Pageau
Bennett
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Pageau
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Pageau
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
46.4% (780)
+12.7%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
57.3% (150)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
47.8% (46)
+12.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Pageau
Bennett
Home
57.8% (377)
50.3% (519)
Away
61.0% (559)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Pageau
Bennett
P1
54.1%
47.5%
P2
62.1%
46.6%
P3
61.8%
49.8%
OT
75.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |