Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Couturier 53.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 75.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 68.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 81.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Pageau
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Couturier
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
53.4% (758)
+5.7%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
62.9% (70)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
50.7% (227)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Pageau
Couturier
Home
57.8% (377)
50.7% (517)
Away
61.0% (559)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Pageau
Couturier
P1
54.1%
55.2%
P2
62.1%
53.0%
P3
61.8%
53.3%
OT
75.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |