Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 48.6% vs Ott 53.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 70.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 72.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Pageau
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pageau
Ott
Last 5: Pageau 1-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
4
Pageau
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (194)
55.6% (583)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
47.1% (206)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Pageau is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Pageau shoots right. Ott is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Pageau
Ott
Home
57.1% (119)
54.1% (512)
Away
39.4% (127)
53.6% (405)
By Period
Pageau
Ott
P1
52.9%
53.3%
P2
41.1%
52.8%
P3
52.2%
56.1%
OT
25.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
48.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Steve Ott |