Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs T.J. Oshie
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Oshie 48.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 76.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.6%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Pageau
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pageau
Oshie
Last 8: Pageau 4-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Oshie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
3
Pageau
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
43.3% (127)
+15.0%
Power Play
57.1% (77)
51.7% (151)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
50.0% (12)
-7.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Pageau is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Pageau shoots right. Oshie is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Pageau
Oshie
Home
57.4% (439)
42.1% (164)
Away
55.8% (394)
55.6% (126)
By Period
Pageau
Oshie
P1
54.0%
44.7%
P2
55.0%
47.8%
P3
60.8%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |