Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Trocheck 55.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 70.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 62.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Pageau
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Pageau
Trocheck
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
4
Pageau
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (502)
57.3% (482)
+1.9%
Power Play
69.6% (23)
67.8% (118)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (163)
42.6% (108)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Pageau shoots right. Trocheck is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Pageau
Trocheck
Home
59.5% (299)
52.0% (273)
Away
60.4% (389)
59.8% (435)
By Period
Pageau
Trocheck
P1
55.3%
55.1%
P2
62.2%
61.1%
P3
61.1%
54.1%
OT
80.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
62.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |