Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sill shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Sill 46.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 67.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Pageau
Sill
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pageau
Sill
Last 9: Pageau 6-3 Sill
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Sill
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Sill
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Sill
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Sill
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
42.0% (69)
+12.1%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
100.0% (1)
-55.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
42.9% (7)
+3.9%
On power play, Sill has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sill shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Pageau shoots right. Sill is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Pageau
Sill
Home
54.7% (592)
37.5% (56)
Away
49.6% (585)
57.1% (21)
By Period
Pageau
Sill
P1
51.0%
50.0%
P2
54.3%
40.7%
P3
51.8%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Sill
42.0%▼
44.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Zach Sill |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Zach Sill |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Zach Sill |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |