Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. McDonald wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 48.7% vs Carter 52.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 71.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 63.9%
Neutral zone
McDonald 55.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
McDonald
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDonald
Carter
Last 5: McDonald 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
McDonald
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDonald
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (103)
52.9% (289)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.8% (85)
56.5% (69)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
38.5% (26)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, McDonald has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. McDonald is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
McDonald shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
McDonald
Carter
Home
43.8% (105)
56.4% (181)
Away
52.7% (93)
49.3% (203)
By Period
McDonald
Carter
P1
47.4%
56.6%
P2
48.5%
54.0%
P3
44.9%
47.2%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |