Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lander wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 46.5% vs Carter 51.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 68.0%
Defensive zone
Lander 79.8%
Neutral zone
Lander 69.8%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Lander
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lander
Carter
Last 5: Lander 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Lander
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lander
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (127)
52.0% (471)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.3% (132)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
43.9% (41)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lander is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Lander shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Lander
Carter
Home
44.4% (99)
53.6% (330)
Away
44.3% (61)
50.6% (314)
By Period
Lander
Carter
P1
43.4%
50.0%
P2
46.0%
55.6%
P3
44.6%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
44.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |