Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Gordon wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Carter 52.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 90.5%
Defensive zone
Gordon 56.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 71.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Gordon
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Gordon
Carter
Last 10: Gordon 1-9 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
7
Gordon
Carter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Gordon
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
51.5% (934)
+6.7%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
58.5% (164)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
52.6% (95)
-1.5%
On power play, Carter has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gordon is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Gordon shoots right. Carter is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Gordon
Carter
Home
58.4% (586)
55.1% (554)
Away
53.6% (632)
50.4% (639)
By Period
Gordon
Carter
P1
55.8%
50.8%
P2
58.1%
52.1%
P3
53.3%
54.8%
OT
68.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |